Research · deterministic simulation
Backtest an investing rule before acting
Review source coverage, freeze a bounded strategy and its costs, then compare post-cost equity with a hold benchmark. The calculation engine owns results; AI may explain a completed run but cannot change its numbers or grant execution authority.
Simulated demo · deterministic sample data
Interactive sample result — never live market evidence
Twelve repository-owned synthetic XRP/USD observations drive this browser-only demonstration. No provider, wallet, model, signing, approval, or execution service is contacted.
1 · Setup and freeze
Dataset, portfolio, strategy, and costs
These frozen inputs produced the deterministic result below; changing them requires a new run.
2 · Deterministic results
Equity, benchmark, and drawdown
- Sample strategy return
- +25.24%
- Sample hold benchmark
- +18.92%
- Sample excess vs benchmark
- +6.33%
- Sample maximum drawdown
- −11.93%
- Sample modeled costs
- 1.56 USD
- Sample fills
- 2
Synthetic path after modeled sample costs
Same synthetic path with static starting holdings
Illustrative difference, not expected performance
Largest synthetic peak-to-trough decline
Spread + venue + slippage + fixed cost assumptions
Browser-only simulated rebalances; no orders created
| Date | Strategy equity | Hold benchmark | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-01 | 1480.00 USD | 1480.00 USD | −0.00% |
| 2025-02-27 | 1518.91 USD | 1520.00 USD | −0.00% |
| 2025-04-26 | 1591.99 USD | 1570.00 USD | −0.00% |
| 2025-06-23 | 1489.68 USD | 1500.00 USD | −6.43% |
| 2025-08-20 | 1401.99 USD | 1440.00 USD | −11.93% |
| 2025-10-17 | 1562.76 USD | 1550.00 USD | −1.84% |
| 2025-12-14 | 1665.06 USD | 1620.00 USD | −0.00% |
| 2026-02-10 | 1606.60 USD | 1580.00 USD | −3.51% |
| 2026-04-09 | 1723.05 USD | 1660.00 USD | −0.00% |
| 2026-06-06 | 1788.34 USD | 1710.00 USD | −0.00% |
| 2026-08-03 | 1696.94 USD | 1640.00 USD | −5.11% |
| 2026-09-29 | 1853.62 USD | 1760.00 USD | −0.00% |
3 · Event audit
Signals, next-bar fills, and rejections
| Signal | Fill | Side | Gross notional | Costs | Ending cash | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-01-01 close | 2025-02-27 open | Buy base | 240.00 USD | 1.09 USD | 758.91 USD | Synthetic next-sample fill |
| 2026-02-10 close | 2026-04-09 open | Sell base | 102.85 USD | 0.47 USD | 861.29 USD | Synthetic next-sample fill |
4 · Compare evidence
Saved-run comparison
Only runs with compatible dataset, strategy, and quote-currency fingerprints should be compared.
| Run | Compatibility | Strategy | Benchmark | Drawdown | Costs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sample 1 · 50% target / ±5.0% banddemo_5caaca6201bd_1 | Blocked | +25.24% | +18.92% | −11.93% | 1.56 USD |